Pair vote projections (updated)
The past few days have seen a surge in signups, and will likely continue until Friday, the last day of registration. Latest statistics on pair voters as of Wednesday, Oct 9 11:59 pm:
- Green – 418
- NDP – 354
- Liberal – 212
- Bloc Québécois – 25
- Conservative – 23
- Libertarian – 2
- Animal Alliance Environment – 1
- Communist – 1
- Marijuana – 1
Total: 1040
Predicted number of total signups by Friday, October 10: > 1000
Available swap votes by party
Here is the data that matters most. The number of voter pairs is limited by the number of voters in swing ridings willing to vote for each party.
Potential swapped votes in swing ridings per party. Note that the actual number of total available votes is less because someone who is willing to vote for multiple parties is counted more than once:
- Liberal – 328
- NDP – 196
- Bloc – 18
- Conservative – 13
- Green – 11
- Marijuana – 7
- Communist – 6
- Libertarian – 2
View breakdown of available votes by riding.
The swing ridings are determined by the latest riding-by-riding projections at democraticSPACE.com.
May Day – Green party needs swing voters in Central Nova (and elsewhere)
There is tremendous interest by Green party supporters to swap their vote to support Elizabeth May, leader of the Green Party. Alas, most are going to be disappointed unless their is a sudden surge in registrations in May’s riding. I suggest people contact local media there, and anyone they know in or near the riding to get the word out that hundreds of votes are available for Elizabeth May, if there are some voters, likely Liberals who are willing to swap. The Conservative, NDP and Green parties are all in the race for the Central Nova seat.
Overall, there are far more Green party voters wanting to swap votes than there are people available to swap with in the few ridings the Greens have a chance of winning.
